“This is the central illusion in life: that randomness is a risk, that it is a bad thing.” — N. N. Taleb
Why should you study Taleb?
First principles thinking involves a great amount of exposure to what can be grouped as "The Rationalist Community" – this includes psychologists, economists, behavioral scientists, etc. While many of these people's ideas are brilliant, some of them are utterly garbage. Taleb is the necessary antidote. His ideas serve as a strong bulwark against your thinking becoming "too rational" and therefore naive.
"Why did the statistician die while crossing the river? Because he knew that it was on average 4 feet deep."
The above joke reminds of the silliness experts can revel in without realizing that their approach may be faulty. Just think of all the mistakes experts have made in the current COVID-19 disaster!
I consider it my civic duty to include Taleb in this guide for this exact reason – a lot of mainstream experts in the fields of Economics, Psychology, Behavioral Science, and Nutrition are extremely wrong, and Taleb stands as a one-man army calling them out (often publicly on his Twitter!). Incorporating his work into your first-principles thinking stack is absolutely critical.
📚Books
- Antifragile
- The Black Swan
- Fooled by Randomness
- Skin in the game
📺Videos
Video summaries of books by Nassim Taleb 👇
✉️Articles
https://fs.blog/intellectual-giants/nassim-taleb/The Minority rule

The Lindy Principle

Meta-rationality


Virtue-signaling





https://www.norupp.com/the-black-swan-summary/
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https://thepowermoves.com/fooled-by-randomness-summary/

https://www.nateliason.com/notes/skin-in-the-game-by-nassim-taleb